黄海及其沿岸历史地震初步研究     

吴戈  刘昌森  江在雄  翟文杰  吴镝 《四川地震》2002,(2):14-22

黄海及其边缘，经历史地震资料整理，地震参数估定与编目，截至1949年8月，共有M≥3级地震2187次，其中M≥43/4级地震259次，资料显示大致有三个相对集中活跃区，16世纪曾有过历史地震活动高潮。  相似文献   

Seismic moment distribution revisited: II. Moment conservation principle   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Yan Y. Kagan 《Geophysical Journal International》2002,149(3):731-754

  相似文献   

Maximum earthquake magnitudes in the Aegean area constrained by tectonic moment release rates   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

G. Ch. Koravos  I. G. Main  T. M. Tsapanos  R. M. W. Musson 《Geophysical Journal International》2003,152(1):94-112

  相似文献   

b值在地震预测中的三类应用及其物理基础与须注意的问题   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

韩渭宾 《四川地震》2003,(1):1-5

将b值在地震预测中的直接应用归为三类：1）根据b值的动态变化预测地震。2）根据G－R律求出各级地震平均复发周期或年均发生率，推测未来一定时段如50年或100年内发生各级地震的危险性。3）根据G－R直线在横轴的截距，预测强余震的震级。讨论了这三种用法的物理基础及现有工作中容易出现的问题。  相似文献   

Weibull分布的信息熵在地震预报中的应用研究          下载免费PDF全文

范琦 《地震工程学报》2003,25(2):125-130

根据统计分布与信息熵理论，定义了震级信息熵Hm和地震间隔时间信息熵Ht，并推导了它们的计算公式。通过时空扫描和计算，发现强震前1～3年Hm和Ht出现低值异常，与地震有较好的对应关系，可以作为一组中期或中短期预测指标。  相似文献   

最大熵原理与地震频度-震级关系   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

冯利华 《地震地质》2003,25(2):260-265

地震是一种随机事件 ,它的发生具有极大的不确定性 ,因而可以用熵来进行描述。地震以最无序的方式在各地发生 ,意味着地震熵达到了极大值。古登堡 (Gutenberg)和里克特 (Richter)根据资料和经验得出的地震频度 -震级关系式实际上是在给定的约束条件下 ,当地震熵取极大值时得到的一种负指数分布。文中从最大熵原理得出了同一形式的地震频度 -震级关系 ,使它的来源从理论上得到了解释  相似文献   

An Mw based earthquake Catalogue for central, northern and northwestern Europe using a hierarchy of magnitude conversions   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

G. Grünthal  R. Wahlström 《Journal of Seismology》2003,7(4):507-531

Data from 25 local catalogues and 30special studies of earthquakes in central,northern and northwestern Europe have beenincorporated into a Databank. The dataprocessing includes discriminating eventtypes, eliminating fake events and dupletsand converting different magnitudes andintensities to M_w if this is not givenby the original source. The magnitudeconversion is a key task of the study andimplies establishment of regressionequations where no local relations exist.The Catalogue contains tectonic events fromthe Databank within the area44°N–72°N,25°W–32°E and the time period1300–1993. The lower magnitude level forthe Catalogue entries is setat M_w == 3.50. The area covered by thedifferent catalogues are associated withpolygons. Within each polygon only datafrom one or a small number of the localcatalogues, supplemented by data fromspecial studies, enter the Catalogue. Ifthere are two or more such catalogues orstudies providing a solution for an event,a priority algorithm selects one entry forthe Catalogue. Then M_w is calculatedfrom one of the magnitude types, or frommacroseismic data, given by the selectedentry according to another priority scheme.The origin time, location, M_w magnitude and reference are specified for eachentry of the Catalogue. So is theepicentral intensity, I₀, if providedby the original source. Following thesecriteria, a total of about 5,000earthquakes constitute the Catalogue.Although originally derived for the purposeof seismic hazard calculation within GSHAP,the Catalogue provides a data base for manytypes of seismicity and seismic hazardstudies.  相似文献   

Evaluation of predictors of non‐linear seismic demands using ‘fishbone’ models of SMRF buildings     

Nicolas Luco  Yasuhiro Mori  Yosuke Funahashi  C. Allin Cornell  Masayoshi Nakashima 《地震工程与结构动力学》2003,32(14):2267-2288

Predictors (or estimates) of seismic structural demands that are less computationally time‐consuming than non‐linear dynamic analysis can be useful for structural performance assessment and for design. In this paper, we evaluate the bias and precision of predictors that make use of, at most, (i) elastic modal vibration properties of the given structure, (ii) the results of a non‐linear static pushover analysis of the structure, and (iii) elastic and inelastic single‐degree‐of‐freedom time‐history analyses for the specified ground motion record. The main predictor of interest is an extension of first‐mode elastic spectral acceleration that additionally takes into account both the second‐mode contribution to (elastic) structural response and the effects of inelasticity. This predictor is evaluated with respect to non‐linear dynamic analysis results for ‘fishbone’ models of steel moment‐resisting frame (SMRF) buildings. The relatively small number of degrees of freedom for each fishbone model allows us to consider several short‐to‐long period buildings and numerous near‐ and far‐field earthquake ground motions of interest in both Japan and the U.S. Before doing so, though, we verify that estimates of the bias and precision of the predictor obtained using fishbone models are effectively equivalent to those based on typical ‘full‐frame’ models of the same buildings. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Seismic moment tensor representations and radiation patterns in unbounded media with elipsoidal cavities driven by low frequency pressure     

靳平  徐果明  楼为涛 《地震学报(英文版)》1997,10(5):553-564

ＳｅｉｓｍｉｃｍｏｍｅｎｔｔｅｎｓｏｒｒｅｐｒｅｓｅｎｔａｔｉｏｎｓａｎｄｒａｄｉａｔｉｏｎｐａｔｅｒｎｓｉｎｕｎｂｏｕｎｄｅｄｍｅｄｉａｗｉｔｈｅｌｉｐｓｏｉｄａｌｃａｖｉｔｉｅｓｄｒｉｖｅｎｂｙｌｏｗｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙｐｒｅｓｓｕｒｅＰＩ...  相似文献   

泥石流等级和灾度的定量计算     

冯利华 《山地学报》1997,(4)

泥石流等级是描述一次泥石流规模大小的定量指标,泥石流灾度是描述一次泥石流造成社会损失大小的定量指标。这两个指标概念明确,简单易行,有利于使描述泥石流规模大小和灾情程度的术语逐步规范化、定量化和普及化。  相似文献